Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.028629 0.031315 0.033971 0.036790 0.039690 0.042584 0.045683
2024-12-29 0.023172 0.027492 0.031882 0.036650 0.041660 0.046747 0.052284
2025-01-05 0.019162 0.024525 0.030107 0.036288 0.042885 0.049672 0.057143
2025-01-12 0.015927 0.021997 0.028465 0.035750 0.043632 0.051827 0.060924
2025-01-19 0.012684 0.019159 0.026244 0.034369 0.043276 0.052631 0.063098
2025-01-26 0.011379 0.018375 0.026174 0.035226 0.045236 0.055812 0.067705
2025-02-02 0.009783 0.017115 0.025466 0.035287 0.046244 0.057895 0.071060
2025-02-09 0.007867 0.015313 0.024032 0.034445 0.046182 0.058752 0.073029
2025-02-16 0.006773 0.014434 0.023604 0.034687 0.047272 0.060816 0.076256
2025-02-23 0.005632 0.013394 0.022925 0.034590 0.047940 0.062380 0.078902
2025-03-02 0.004524 0.012289 0.022107 0.034285 0.048333 0.063607 0.081146
2025-03-09 0.003761 0.011586 0.021737 0.034470 0.049251 0.065386 0.083966
2025-03-16 0.002501 0.010090 0.020442 0.033684 0.049222 0.066297 0.086049
2025-03-23 0.001633 0.009055 0.019711 0.033587 0.050019 0.068176 0.089258
2025-03-30 0.000867 0.007948 0.018813 0.033243 0.050499 0.069677 0.092029
2025-04-06 0.000284 0.006833 0.017815 0.032724 0.050736 0.070870 0.094427
2025-04-13 NaN 0.005381 0.016217 0.031387 0.049965 0.070886 0.095480
2025-04-20 NaN 0.005143 0.016353 0.032217 0.051732 0.073761 0.099699
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004551 0.015906 0.032275 0.052561 0.075549 0.102683
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003608 0.014817 0.031461 0.052317 0.076089 0.104246
2025-05-11 NaN 0.003200 0.014549 0.031695 0.053314 0.078033 0.107369
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002692 0.014052 0.031601 0.053898 0.079487 0.109923
2025-05-25 NaN 0.002153 0.013425 0.031306 0.054217 0.080619 0.112100